Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.022056 0.023695 0.025402 0.027313 0.029397 0.031602 0.034116
2024-11-03 0.019344 0.021705 0.024293 0.027348 0.030868 0.034809 0.039572
2024-11-10 0.017702 0.020524 0.023740 0.027693 0.032449 0.038015 0.045071
2024-11-17 0.016140 0.019202 0.022799 0.027367 0.033055 0.039962 0.049068
2024-11-24 0.014998 0.018237 0.022143 0.027243 0.033791 0.042000 0.053207
2024-12-01 0.013936 0.017266 0.021373 0.026867 0.034110 0.043450 0.056605
2024-12-08 0.013214 0.016656 0.020991 0.026921 0.034935 0.045550 0.060950
2024-12-15 0.012419 0.015891 0.020345 0.026560 0.035145 0.046793 0.064151
2024-12-22 0.011650 0.015111 0.019622 0.026031 0.035064 0.047590 0.066725
2024-12-29 0.011067 0.014540 0.019139 0.025786 0.035338 0.048871 0.070049
2025-01-05 0.010533 0.014006 0.018670 0.025523 0.035552 0.050048 0.073265
2025-01-12 0.009945 0.013365 0.018019 0.024955 0.035273 0.050462 0.075307
2025-01-19 0.009656 0.013131 0.017930 0.025198 0.036212 0.052766 0.080501
2025-01-26 0.009314 0.012805 0.017691 0.025203 0.036787 0.054538 0.084964
2025-02-02 0.009087 0.012631 0.017660 0.025510 0.037832 0.057094 0.090896
2025-02-09 0.008704 0.012213 0.017248 0.025212 0.037904 0.058088 0.094239
2025-02-16 0.008399 0.011894 0.016968 0.025100 0.038256 0.059545 0.098474
2025-02-23 0.008054 0.011501 0.016558 0.024759 0.038211 0.060330 0.101554
2025-03-02 0.007830 0.011282 0.016401 0.024808 0.038804 0.062212 0.106751
2025-03-09 0.007527 0.010929 0.016022 0.024479 0.038743 0.062961 0.109886
2025-03-16 0.007205 0.010535 0.015564 0.023999 0.038396 0.063179 0.112020
2025-03-23 0.006962 0.010254 0.015272 0.023777 0.038475 0.064152 0.115670
2025-03-30 0.006728 0.009980 0.014978 0.023537 0.038510 0.065038 0.119203